PUBLICATIONS

PUBLICATIONS

In Review

Lorenz DJ, Nieto-Lugilde D, Blois JL, Fitzpatrick MC, Williams JW (submitted) Downscaled and debiased climate simulations for North America from 21,000 years ago to 2100AD.

Maguire KC, Nieto-Lugilde D, Blois JL, Fitzpatrick MC, Williams JW, Ferrier S, Lorenz DJ (submitted) Controlled comparison of species- and community-level models across novel climates and communities.

Nieto-Lugilde D, Maguire KC, Blois JL, Williams JW, Fitzpatrick MC (submitted) Community-level modeling: Theory, recent advances, and applications.

Johnston MR, Elmore AJ, Mokany K, Fitzpatrick MC. (submitted) Field-measured variables outperform derived alternatives in stream biodiversity models.

Katzner TE, Nelson DM, Braham MA, Doyle JM, Fernandez NB, Duerr AE, Bloom PH, Fitzpatrick MC, Miller TA, Culver RCE, Braswell L DeWoody JA (submitted) Continental-scale consequences of local-scale renewable energy development.

In press

Pylant C, Nelson DM, Fitzpatrick MC, Gates JE, Keller SR (in press) Geographic origin and population dynamics of bats killed at wind-energy facilities. Ecological Applications

2015

Fitzpatrick MC, Keller SR (2015) Ecological genomics meets community-level modeling of biodiversity: Mapping the genomic landscape of current and future environmental adaptation. Ecology Letters 18:1-16 Faculty of 1000

Nieto-Lugilde D, Maguire KC, Blois JL, Williams JW, Fitzpatrick MC (2015) Close agreement between pollen-based and forest inventory-based models of vegetation turnover. Global Ecology & Biogeography 24: 905–916

Maguire KC, Nieto-Lugilde D, Fitzpatrick MC, Williams JW, Blois JL (2015) Modeling species and community responses to past, present, and future episodes of climatic and ecological change. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics 46: 343-368

Gibb H et al. (2015) Climate regulates the effects of disturbance on ant assemblage structure. Proceedings of the Royal Society: Series B 282: 20150418. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2015.0418

2014

Gavin DG et al. (2014) Climate refugia: joint inference from fossil records, species distribution models, and phylogeography. New Phytologist 204:37-54

Ferrari J, Preisser EL, Fitzpatrick MC (2014) Modeling the spread of invasive species using dynamic network models. Biological Invasions 16:949-960

Landesmann WJ, Nelson DM, Fitzpatrick MC (2014) Soil properties and tree species drive beta-diversity of soil bacterial communities. Soil Biology & Biochemistry 76:201-209

2013

Fitzpatrick MC, Sanders NJ, Normand S, Svenning JC, Ferrier S, Gove A, Dunn RR (2013) Environmental and historical imprints on beta-diversity: Insights from variation in rates of species turnover along gradients. Proceedings of the Royal Society: Series B 280: 1768 (R scripts and data) Faculty of 1000

Blois JL, Zarnetske PL, Fitzpatrick MC, Finnegan S (2013) Climate change and the past, present, and future of biotic interactions. Science 341:499-504

Fitzpatrick MC, Gotelli NJ, Ellison AM (2013) Maxent vs. Maxlike: Empirical comparisons with ant species distributions. Ecosphere 4:art55 (R scripts and data)

Blois JL, Williams JW, Fitzpatrick MC, Jackson ST, Ferrier S (2013) Space can substitute for time in predicting climate-change effects on biodiversity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science 110:9374-9379

Elmore AJ, Julian JP, Guinn SM, Fitzpatrick MC (2013) Potential Stream Density in Mid-Atlantic U.S. Watersheds. PLoS ONE 8(8): e74819. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0074819

Blois JL, Williams JW, Fitzpatrick MC, Ferrier S, Veloz S, He F, Lui Z, Manion G, Otto-Bliesner B (2013) Modeling the climatic drivers of spatial patterns in vegetation composition since the Last Glacial Maximum. Ecography 36: 460-473

Record S, Fitzpatrick MC, Finley A, Veloz S, Ellison AE (2013) Should species distribution models account for spatial autocorrelation? A test of model projections across eight millennia of climate change. Global Ecology & Biogeography 22: 760-771 (R scripts and data)

2012

Fitzpatrick MC, Preisser EL, Porter A, Elkinton J, Ellison AE (2012) Modeling range dynamics in heterogeneous landscapes: Invasion of the hemlock woolly adelgid in eastern North America. Ecological Applications 22:472-486 (R scripts and data)

Broennimann 0*, Fitzpatrick MC*, Pearman P*, Petit-Pierre B, Pellissier L, Yoccoz NG, Thuiller W, Fortin M-J, Randin C, Zimmermann N, Graham C, Guisan A (2012) Measuring ecological niche overlap from occurrence and spatial environmental data. Global Ecology & Biogeography 21:481-497 *Co-first author (R scripts)

Dunn RR, Fitzpatrick MC (2012) Every Species is an Insect (or Nearly So): On insects, climate change, extinction and the biological unknown. Invited chapter in Hannah L (ed) Saving a Million Species: Extinction Risk from Climate Change. Island Press. Purchase from Amazon.

2011

Fitzpatrick MC, Sanders NJ, Ferrier S, Longino JT, Weiser MD, Dunn RR (2011) Forecasting the future of biodiversity: a test of single- and multi-species models for ants in North America. Ecography 34:836-847

Fitzpatrick MC (2011) Understanding the distribution of life on Earth in an age of phylogenetic systematics (book review). Landscape Ecology 26:1049-1050

Jenkins CN, Andersen AN, Arnan X, Brühl CA, Cerda X, Ellison AM, Fisher BL, Fitzpatrick MC, Gotelli NJ, Gove AD, Lattke JE, Lessard JP, McGlynn TP, Menke SB, Parr CL, Philpott SM, Sanders NJ, Weiser MD, Dunn RR (2011) Global diversity in light of climate change: the case of ants. Diversity & Distributions 17:652–662

Belote T, Prisley S, Jones R, Fitzpatrick MC, de Beurs K. (2011) Forest productivity and tree diversity relationships depend on ecological context within mid-Atlantic and Appalachian forests. Forest Ecology and Management 261:1315–1324

Turner JL, Fitzpatrick MC, Preisser EL (2011) Simulating the dispersal of hemlock woolly adelgid (Hemiptera: Adelgidae) in the temperate forest understory. Entomologia Experimentalis et Applicata 141:216–223 (R code and data)

Conn C, Claggett S, Drake B, Dunn J, Fitzpatrick MC, Hairston-Strang A, Inouye D, Limpert D, Miles W, Samson D, Sprague E (2011) Forests and terrestrial ecosystems. In Boicourt K and Johnson ZP (eds) Comprehensive Strategy for Reducing Maryland’s Vulnerability to Climate Change, Phase II: Building societal, economic, and ecological resilience. (LARGE FILE ~31MB)

2010

Fitzpatrick MC, Preisser EL, Porter A, Elkinton J, Waller LA, Carlin BP, Ellison AE (2010) Ecological boundary detection using Bayesian areal wombling. Ecology 91:3448–3455 (R/WinBUGS scripts and data)

Svenning JC, Fitzpatrick MC, Normand S, Graham CH, Pearman PB, Iverson LR, Skov F (2010) Geography, topography, and history affect realized-to-potential tree species richness patterns in Europe. Ecography 33:1070-1080; Faculty of 1000; US_IALE Outstanding Paper in Landscape Ecology - Honorable Mention 2012

2009

Fitzpatrick MC, Preisser E, Ellison AE, Elkinton J (2009) Observer bias and the detection of low-density populations. Ecological Applications 19:1673-1679 (R scripts)